Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000192 0.000214 0.000239 0.000266 0.000298 0.000331 0.000371
2025-02-16 0.000158 0.000188 0.000222 0.000265 0.000315 0.000373 0.000446
2025-02-23 0.000132 0.000167 0.000208 0.000261 0.000329 0.000411 0.000519
2025-03-02 0.000112 0.000148 0.000194 0.000256 0.000337 0.000442 0.000586
2025-03-09 0.000098 0.000135 0.000184 0.000253 0.000349 0.000478 0.000662
2025-03-16 0.000087 0.000125 0.000177 0.000253 0.000363 0.000516 0.000744
2025-03-23 0.000078 0.000116 0.000171 0.000254 0.000378 0.000556 0.000833
2025-03-30 0.000070 0.000108 0.000164 0.000252 0.000388 0.000589 0.000914
2025-04-06 0.000064 0.000102 0.000160 0.000254 0.000403 0.000631 0.001011
2025-04-13 0.000059 0.000097 0.000156 0.000254 0.000415 0.000671 0.001107
2025-04-20 0.000054 0.000091 0.000149 0.000251 0.000421 0.000699 0.001187
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000089 0.000150 0.000259 0.000447 0.000761 0.001329
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000085 0.000148 0.000262 0.000465 0.000814 0.001461
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000081 0.000145 0.000264 0.000482 0.000866 0.001600
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000077 0.000141 0.000264 0.000493 0.000909 0.001725
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000072 0.000135 0.000259 0.000497 0.000939 0.001829
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000068 0.000131 0.000257 0.000506 0.000980 0.001957
2025-06-08 0.000032 0.000065 0.000128 0.000257 0.000519 0.001027 0.002103
2025-06-15 0.000030 0.000063 0.000126 0.000259 0.000533 0.001080 0.002263
2025-06-22 0.000028 0.000060 0.000122 0.000257 0.000541 0.001121 0.002404
2025-06-29 0.000027 0.000058 0.000120 0.000259 0.000557 0.001178 0.002583
2025-07-06 0.000025 0.000055 0.000118 0.000259 0.000570 0.001231 0.002760
2025-07-13 0.000023 0.000053 0.000114 0.000256 0.000574 0.001265 0.002896